Published Research

September 2024

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Q3 2024

The question is not whether Trump will accept the outcome of the election if he loses. He won't. The question is whether he will have the endorsement of someone powerful to generate chaos

July 2024

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Q2 2024

Louis XV of France squandered the prestige and the wealth of the French crown, but he did not live to see the consequences of his actions. The candidates for the American presidency seem to have the same short-sightedness

April 2024

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Q1 2024

Washington elites fear Donald Trump's return to the White House, the only way they have to avoid it is to overheat the economy and financial assets

January 2024

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Q4 2023

Inflation seems to have ended with hardly any casualties, but as with diets, the last kilos are the hardest

October 2023

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Q3 2023

Current risk-free bond yields should readjust other assets’ valuations

July 2023

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Q2 2023

As we enter the second half of the year, we have completely restructured a positioning that has not been working for the past nine months.

April 2023

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Q1 2023

Banking panics aren’t new: J.P. Morgan had to come to the rescue in 1907 due to the Federal Reserve's no-show

January 2023

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Q4 2022

As the Dutch learned in Amsterdam 400 years ago and the cryptobros more recently, capitulating to the fear of missing out is never a good investment rationale

October 2022

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Q3 2022

For years, European elites have been behaving like the wealthy class of King's Landing, capital of Westeros in the acclaimed series Game of Thrones, whose inhabitants resided too far from the winterly threat to care.

July 2022

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Q2 2022

To slow the current episode of inflation, central banks have done exactly what they did in 2008, but in reverse: make us all feel poorer so that we curb consumption.

April 2022

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Q1 2022

The Ukrainian people, inspired by their leader Volodymyr Zelensky have shown steadfast resistance in defence for freedom, forcing the West to launch the biggest financial attack in history

January 2022

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Q4 2021

One day the music will stop playing, liquidity will quickly dry up and those who can't find a seat will be faced with the difficult task of explaining to their grandchildren why they invested all their savings in a drawing of a primate.

October 2021

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Q3 2021

Fixed income has been the best line of defense for the past 30 years, but in the current context it could suffer the same fate as the Ligne Maginot

July 2021

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Q2 2021

John Law’s miserable story should serve to remind us that money is nothing more than a medium of exchange with no real value, so the more money there is in the economy, the more goods and services will cost

April 2021

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Q1 2021

The commitment to the energy transition and compliance with the Paris Agreement are no longer mere rhetoric speeches but have become the cornerstone of supranational policies

January 2021

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Q4 2020

It would be naive to think that the largest money supply increase ever seen will not have consequences in the medium term

October 2020

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US elections 2020

Guide to follow the American elections

October 2020

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Q3 2020

The Amazon River reminds us that two opposite realities can coexist

July 2020

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Q2 2020

The gap between Wall Street and Main Street has never been wider

May 2020

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How to position for a recovery

European dividends offer an attractive opportunity in case of a rebound

April 2020

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Q1 2020

This quarter’s volatility only has two precedents in history: 1929 and 1987

January 2020

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Q4 2019

2019 has been an extraordinary year for all kinds of asset class, it will hardly repeat in 2020

October 2019

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The hidden risks of Fixed Income

The most dangerous time in 30 years to invest in this asset class.

September 2019

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European banks: What went wrong?

How the global financial crisis disrupted the european financial sector and why it might never recover.

January 2019

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2019 outlook

An overview on the basic functioning of macroeconomics and capital markets.

© Copyright 2021, Hanway Capital, S.L.

Jonas Hanway (1712-1786) was the first man to use an umbrella. He was the most misunderstood man in London for more than 30 years until his invention finally became popular